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Empowered Investor: A Guide to Building Better Portfolios by Keith Matthews

Price $15.95>> Buy Now

Empowered Investor: A Guide to Building Better 
              PortfoliosChasing The Pot of Gold

Timing the Markets is a Loser’s Game
A recently-released study of U.S. investors by Dalbar, Inc., one
of North America’s leading financial-services research firms, has rocked the industry. With results obtained by tracking aggregate cash flows in and out of mutual funds on a monthly basis from 1984 through 2002, the Dalbar study was able to conclude the following dismal results:

  • The average U.S. equity investor earned 2.57% annually, below the rate of inflation at 3.14%, and falling far short of the 12.22% the S&P 500 earned for the last 19 years.
  • The average U.S. bond investor earned 4.2% annually, compared with the long-term government bond index of 11.70%.

These rates of return, it is worthy to note, are before taxes,
commissions, fees and transaction costs, and were tracked within a period that included one of the best bull markets in history. As one financial journalist noted dryly, “Investors would have been better served to hide their money under the mattress.” While it is important to note that these numbers represent the average investor (the numbers can be skewed by a minority of investors who make disastrous choices), the fact remains that the news is not good. What went wrong?

 

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